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AP upset archive

Biggest College Football Upsets of 1999

The season's 25 strongest AP-defined upsets, led by the quality of the ranked team defeated and the game-time ranking gap.

25

Upsets ranked

15

Unranked winners

0

Market-confirmed

Top 25 AP upsets

  1. Historic upsetWeek 11Road

    Unranked Minnesota 24, No. 2 Penn State 23

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 48/50 · Rank gap 48/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    96

    AP score

  2. Historic upsetWeek 12Home

    Unranked Arkansas 28, No. 3 Tennessee 24

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 46/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    92

    AP score

  3. Historic upsetWeek 1Home

    Unranked Penn State 41, No. 4 Arizona 7

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 44/50 · Rank gap 44/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    88

    AP score

  4. Historic upsetWeek 6Home

    Unranked Texas Tech 21, No. 5 Texas A&M 19

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 42/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    84

    AP score

  5. Historic upsetWeek 6Road

    No. 21 Alabama 40, No. 3 Florida 39

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 36/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    82

    AP score

  6. Historic upsetWeek 9Home

    No. 18 Texas 24, No. 3 Nebraska 20

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 30/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    76

    AP score

  7. Historic upsetWeek 11Home

    Unranked Virginia 45, No. 7 Georgia Tech 38

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 38/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    76

    AP score

  8. Major upsetWeek 8Home

    No. 20 Purdue 52, No. 5 Michigan State 28

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 30/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    72

    AP score

  9. Major upsetWeek 14Home

    No. 24 Texas A&M 20, No. 7 Texas 16

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    72

    AP score

  10. Major upsetWeek 1Home

    Unranked Miami 23, No. 9 Ohio State 12

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  11. Major upsetWeek 4Home

    Unranked Cincinnati 17, No. 9 Wisconsin 12

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  12. Major upsetWeek 5Home

    Unranked East Carolina 27, No. 9 Miami 23

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  13. Major upsetWeek 9Road

    Unranked Illinois 35, No. 9 Michigan 29

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  14. Major upsetWeek 7Home

    No. 11 Michigan State 34, No. 3 Michigan 31

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 16/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    62

    AP score

  15. Major upsetWeek 12Road

    No. 16 Michigan 31, No. 6 Penn State 27

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 40/50 · Rank gap 20/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    60

    AP score

  16. Major upsetWeek 6Road

    Unranked Wisconsin 42, No. 12 Ohio State 17

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 28/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    56

    AP score

  17. Major upsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 25 Oregon 24, No. 12 Minnesota 20

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 26/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    54

    AP score

  18. Major upsetWeek 4Home

    No. 4 Florida 23, No. 2 Tennessee 21

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 48/50 · Rank gap 4/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    52

    AP score

  19. Major upsetWeek 9Home

    Unranked Oklahoma 51, No. 13 Texas A&M 6

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 26/50 · Rank gap 26/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    52

    AP score

  20. Major upsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 8 Michigan 35, No. 5 Alabama 34

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 6/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  21. Major upsetWeek 13Home

    No. 22 Arkansas 14, No. 12 Mississippi State 9

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 20/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  22. Major upsetWeek 2Home

    Unranked Colorado State 41, No. 14 Colorado 14

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  23. Major upsetWeek 5Home

    Unranked Alabama 35, No. 14 Arkansas 28

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  24. Major upsetWeek 12Road

    Unranked Auburn 38, No. 14 Georgia 21

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  25. Major upsetWeek 13Home

    Unranked Wake Forest 26, No. 14 Georgia Tech 23

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

How the ranking works

An upset qualifies only when the winner was unranked or ranked below an AP Top 25 opponent at kickoff. Regular-season games use that game's AP poll week; postseason games use the last regular-season AP poll before bowl and playoff results. The 100-point score splits evenly between defeated-opponent strength and ranking gap. Betting lines and pregame win probability are shown separately as supporting evidence and never change the AP score, so missing market data cannot lower a game.