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AP upset archive

Biggest College Football Upsets of 1978

The season's 16 strongest AP-defined upsets, led by the quality of the ranked team defeated and the game-time ranking gap.

16

Upsets ranked

6

Unranked winners

0

Market-confirmed

Top 16 AP upsets

  1. Major upsetWeek 7Road

    Unranked Michigan State 24, No. 9 Michigan 15

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  2. Major upsetWeek 13Home

    Unranked Texas Tech 22, No. 9 Houston 21

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    68

    AP score

  3. Major upsetWeek 12Road

    No. 19 Missouri 35, No. 7 Nebraska 31

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    62

    AP score

  4. Major upsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 2 Alabama 14, No. 1 Penn State 7

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 50/50 · Rank gap 2/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    52

    AP score

  5. Major upsetWeek 7Home

    No. 14 Arizona State 20, No. 7 USC 7

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 14/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    52

    AP score

  6. Major upsetWeek 11Home

    Unranked Oregon State 15, No. 14 UCLA 13

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  7. Major upsetWeek 13Home

    Unranked Baylor 38, No. 14 Texas 14

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 24/50 · Rank gap 24/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    48

    AP score

  8. UpsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 18 Stanford 25, No. 11 Georgia 22

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 30/50 · Rank gap 14/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    44

    AP score

  9. UpsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 10 Notre Dame 35, No. 9 Houston 34

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 2/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    36

    AP score

  10. UpsetWeek 7Home

    No. 20 Notre Dame 26, No. 15 Pittsburgh 17

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 22/50 · Rank gap 10/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    32

    AP score

  11. UpsetWeek 4Home

    Unranked Kansas 28, No. 18 UCLA 24

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 16/50 · Rank gap 16/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    32

    AP score

  12. UpsetWeek 5Road

    Unranked Houston 27, No. 18 Florida State 21

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 16/50 · Rank gap 16/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    32

    AP score

  13. UpsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 14 Texas 42, No. 13 Maryland 0

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 26/50 · Rank gap 2/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    28

    AP score

  14. UpsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 20 NC State 30, No. 16 Pittsburgh 17

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 20/50 · Rank gap 8/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    28

    AP score

  15. UpsetWeek 7Road

    No. 18 Georgia 24, No. 16 LSU 17

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 20/50 · Rank gap 4/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    24

    AP score

  16. UpsetPostseasonNeutral

    No. 18 Missouri 20, No. 17 LSU 15

    AP evidence · primary

    Opponent strength 18/50 · Rank gap 2/50

    Market evidence · supporting

    No betting line · Pregame win chance

    20

    AP score

How the ranking works

An upset qualifies only when the winner was unranked or ranked below an AP Top 25 opponent at kickoff. Regular-season games use that game's AP poll week; postseason games use the last regular-season AP poll before bowl and playoff results. The 100-point score splits evenly between defeated-opponent strength and ranking gap. Betting lines and pregame win probability are shown separately as supporting evidence and never change the AP score, so missing market data cannot lower a game.