Betting command center
College football betting market archive
Review season-by-season cover rates, closing movement, upset payouts, and bookmaker accuracy from 12,852 tracked games.
Seasons indexed
13
2013 – 2025
Games logged
12,852
FBS regular season + bowls
Providers tracked
11
Closing + opening feeds
Active season
2025
- Favorite cover rate
- 51.2%
- Overs hit
- 49.3%
- Average line move
- 1.8 pts
- Moneyline upsets
- 218
924 graded lines
931 totals posted
Opening to close spread change
Consensus favorite lost outright
Season summary
2025 market snapshot
Favorites covered 51.2% of posted numbers, while the over hit 49.3%. This view keeps the season context, volatility, and grading volume in one place.
Games tracked
934
Across 3 sportsbooks
Average line move
1.8 pts
Closing vs opening spread
Favorite cover rate
51.2%
Pushes excluded • 924 lines
Overs hit
49.3%
Totals graded • 931 posted
Readout
What changed in 2025
Logged 934 games from 3 books.
Closing total averaged 52.5 with 1.8 pts of movement.
Pushes accounted for 0.0% of graded spreads.
Average posted total
52.5
Average total movement
1.8 pts
Bookmaker accuracy trend
Favorites and totals that landed versus the number posted on the board every season.
Average line movement
How much spreads and totals shifted from opening to close (absolute change in points).
Sportsbook sharpness leaderboard
Lower average miss equals a tighter number against the actual result. Only books with 150+ tracked lines included.
Usage notes
How to read this board
Sharpness leaderboard
Lower ATS miss means the closing number finished closer to the actual margin. Books need at least 150 tracked lines to appear.
Chaos report
Upsets are consensus spread favorites that lost outright. Totals panels rank the largest misses versus the closing number.
2025 chaos report
Showcase of the wildest underdog wins and moneyline payouts from this season.
Top ATS shockers
Biggest surprises relative to the closing spread.
Nevada def. San José State
2025
Spread consensus: San José State -9.5
San Diego State def. California
2025
Spread consensus: California -13.5
Louisville def. Kentucky
2025
Spread consensus: Kentucky -1.5
New Mexico def. UCLA
2025
Spread consensus: UCLA -15.5
Fresno State def. Boise State
2025
Spread consensus: Boise State -17.5
Marshall def. Old Dominion
2025
Spread consensus: Old Dominion -14.5
Moneyline shockers
Biggest outright payouts in our database.
Swipe horizontally to view all columns.
| Winner | Opponent | Moneyline | Provider |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Penn State | +1,500 | ESPN Bet |
| UAB | Memphis | +1,200 | ESPN Bet |
| Sam Houston | Oregon State | +1,100 | ESPN Bet |
| Long Island University | Eastern Michigan | +1,000 | ESPN Bet |
| Northwestern | Penn State | +800 | ESPN Bet |
| Stanford | Florida State | +750 | ESPN Bet |
Totals volatility
Shootouts beyond expectations
Games that cleared the posted total by the widest margins.
| Matchup | Closing total | Result | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
Marshall at Louisiana 2025 | 48.5 Range 48.5 to 48.5 | 105.0 | +56.5 |
Kansas State at Utah 2025 | 52.5 Range 52.5 to 52.5 | 98.0 | +45.5 |
Old Dominion at James Madison 2025 | 47.5 Range 47.5 to 47.5 | 90.0 | +42.5 |
North Texas at San Diego State 2025 | 54.5 Range 54.5 to 54.5 | 96.0 | +41.5 |
Alabama State at UAB 2025 | 53.5 Range 53.5 to 53.5 | 94.0 | +40.5 |
Defensive grinders
Contest that finished furthest below the closing total.
| Matchup | Closing total | Result | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
Wyoming at Akron 2025 | 47.5 Range 47.5 to 47.5 | 10.0 | -37.5 |
UNLV at Ohio 2025 | 64.5 Range 64.5 to 64.5 | 27.0 | -37.5 |
Charleston Southern at Coastal Carolina 2025 | 48.5 Range 48.5 to 48.5 | 13.0 | -35.5 |
Miami at Texas A&M 2025 | 48.5 Range 48.5 to 48.5 | 13.0 | -35.5 |
Georgia at Georgia Tech 2025 | 59.5 Range 59.5 to 59.5 | 25.0 | -34.5 |
2025 sportsbook report card
Swipe horizontally to view all columns.
| Provider | Games | Favorite cover % | Overs hit % | Avg ATS miss (pts) | Avg line move (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| DraftKings | 46 | 50.0% | 43.5% | 11.4 | 2.9 |
| ESPN Bet | 887 | 51.3% | 49.7% | 11.9 | 1.7 |