AP upset archive
Biggest College Football Upsets of 2025
The season's 25 strongest AP-defined upsets, led by the quality of the ranked team defeated and the game-time ranking gap.
25
Upsets ranked
12
Unranked winners
21
Market-confirmed
Top 25 AP upsets
- Historic upsetWeek 8Road
Unranked Louisville 24, No. 2 Miami 21
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 48/50 · Rank gap 48/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 10.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 23%
96
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Miami vs. Louisville (Regular Season Full Game)
- Historic upsetWeek 7Neutral
Unranked Texas 23, No. 6 Oklahoma 6
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 40/50 · Rank gap 40/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance 57%
80
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Texas vs. Oklahoma (Regular Season Full Game)
- Historic upsetWeek 6Home
Unranked UCLA 42, No. 7 Penn State 37
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 38/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 24.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 5%
76
AP score
Highlight · 2025 UCLA vs. Penn State (Regular Season Full Game)
- Historic upsetWeek 8Home
Unranked Arizona State 26, No. 7 Texas Tech 22
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 38/50 · Rank gap 38/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 8.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 29%
76
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Arizona State vs. Texas Tech (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 14Home
No. 16 Texas 27, No. 3 Texas A&M 17
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 26/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 43%
72
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Texas vs. Texas A&M (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 5Home
Unranked Virginia 46, No. 8 Florida State 38
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 36/50 · Rank gap 36/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 32%
72
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Virginia vs. Florida State (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 10Home
Unranked NC State 48, No. 8 Georgia Tech 36
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 36/50 · Rank gap 36/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 4.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 39%
72
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 6Home
Unranked Florida 29, No. 9 Texas 21
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 34/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 4.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 38%
68
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 5Road
No. 17 Alabama 24, No. 5 Georgia 21
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 42/50 · Rank gap 24/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 44%
66
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Georgia vs. Alabama (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 10Home
Unranked SMU 26, No. 10 Miami 20
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 32/50 · Rank gap 32/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 28%
64
AP score
Highlight · 2025 SMU vs. Miami (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 5Home
No. 13 Ole Miss 24, No. 4 LSU 19
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 44/50 · Rank gap 18/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance 57%
62
AP score
- Major upsetCollege Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl ClassicNeutral
No. 10 Miami 24, No. 3 Ohio State 14
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 14/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 29%
60
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Ohio State vs. Miami (CFP Quarterfinal Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 3Road
Unranked Vanderbilt 31, No. 11 South Carolina 7
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 30/50 · Rank gap 30/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 42%
60
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 12Road
No. 11 Oklahoma 23, No. 4 Alabama 21
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 44/50 · Rank gap 14/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 33%
58
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Alabama vs. Oklahoma (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetCollege Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar BowlNeutral
No. 6 Ole Miss 39, No. 2 Georgia 34
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 48/50 · Rank gap 8/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 6-point underdog · Pregame win chance 34%
56
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Georgia vs. Ole Miss (CFP Quarterfinal Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 10Home
No. 20 Texas 34, No. 9 Vanderbilt 31
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 22/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 3.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance 60%
56
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Texas vs. Vanderbilt (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 2Home
Unranked Mississippi State 24, No. 12 Arizona State 20
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 28/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 5.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 34%
56
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 3Home
Unranked Georgia Tech 24, No. 12 Clemson 21
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 28/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 2.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 42%
56
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 11Road
Unranked Wake Forest 16, No. 12 Virginia 9
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 28/50 · Rank gap 28/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 31%
56
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 7Road
No. 7 Indiana 30, No. 3 Oregon 20
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 8/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 33%
54
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Oregon vs. Indiana (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 1Road
No. 9 LSU 17, No. 4 Clemson 10
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 44/50 · Rank gap 10/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 5.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 35%
54
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Clemson vs. LSU (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 4Home
No. 19 Indiana 63, No. 9 Illinois 10
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 34/50 · Rank gap 20/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7.5-point favorite · Pregame win chance 67%
54
AP score
- Major upsetWeek 15Neutral
No. 2 Indiana 13, No. 1 Ohio State 10
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 50/50 · Rank gap 2/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 5.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 41%
52
AP score
Full Game · 2025 Ohio State vs. Indiana (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 5Road
No. 6 Oregon 30, No. 3 Penn State 24
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 46/50 · Rank gap 6/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 4.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 39%
52
AP score
Full Game · 2025 Penn State vs. Oregon (Regular Season Full Game)
- Major upsetWeek 3Road
No. 16 Texas A&M 41, No. 8 Notre Dame 40
View game details →AP evidence · primary
Opponent strength 36/50 · Rank gap 16/50
Market evidence · supporting
Winner closed as a 7.5-point underdog · Pregame win chance 33%
52
AP score
Highlight · 2025 Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M (Regular Season Full Game)
How the ranking works
An upset qualifies only when the winner was unranked or ranked below an AP Top 25 opponent at kickoff. Regular-season games use that game's AP poll week; postseason games use the last regular-season AP poll before bowl and playoff results. The 100-point score splits evenly between defeated-opponent strength and ranking gap. Betting lines and pregame win probability are shown separately as supporting evidence and never change the AP score, so missing market data cannot lower a game.